The simplest principle
in accounting is Revenue minus Expense equals Income or deficit (loss). Right
now we are in a deficit or losing situation. What is required to turn this back
into an income situation that can reduce our debt?
If an assumption is
spending is currently out of the control the solution must then be related to
generating additional revenue. So what are our revenue opportunities. We want to keep a good blend of capitalism and
socialism so having the government take on business opportunities isn’t where
we should be looking. We want to keep entrepreneurship on the side
of capitalism and free enterprise. That
pretty much leaves revenue opportunities for government to taxes.
What are the various
types of taxes? Keeping this simple, there are: Income Taxes, Property Taxes,
and Consumption Taxes. If you go to the
web page https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_taxes the list goes on and on,
but it basically boils down to these three.
We are familiar
with all three of these. Annually we file
our federal (and possibly state) income tax returns. What a person makes in income (wages, investments, etc.,) determines what a
person pays or receives in tax payments.
With our tax code a huge portion of our population actually receives
income tax distributions instead of paying in taxes. These are refundable tax credits (earned
income and child care are two examples) above what people may have contributed
in tax estimates (withholdings from paychecks).
Property taxes are
taxes due generally to local government based on the value of assets owned by
taxpayers. Fairly simple, you own an
asset, the asset gets assigned a value, and government assesses a tax based on
that value.
Lastly are
consumption taxes. We are all familiar
with these too, but many of these are hidden in the price of items we buy. The familiar one, sales tax. Less seen as they are incorporated into
purchase price of what we buy are taxes on gas, alcohol, luxury, etc.
Where within these
three are the opportunities to increase our revenues? Consumption taxes in general affect everyone
fairly evenly based on what they use.
The issue here is percentage wise it takes a large percentage from those
with limited means and very little from those with wealth. Probably not the
best option for increasing revenues.
With income taxes
we have a progressive system with our current tax code that does charge higher
amounts to those with higher incomes using a progressive rate structure. Logic is this is good, yet our government has
spent the last 50 years in an experiment that continues to reduce marginal
rates, especially those for high incomes.
Goal of this has been to induce economic growth, effect however has been
to increase the divide of wealth with more and more going to the top 1% of
wealth holders. There is opportunity
here that bringing back additional margin brackets similar to those from the 1950’s
would increase revenue.
Property taxes are based
on the value of assets. Seems fairly
simple; if a taxpayer owns an asset, value is assigned the asset and tax is the
due based on that value. We do have in
our tax code just such a tax. Incorrectly
listed as an income tax in the wikipedia list mentioned above, inheritance tax
is not an income tax, it is in fact a property tax. The assets of a decedent are valued and a tax
is due from those assets prior to distribution to heirs.
What does our
current administration want to do? Eliminate this form of property tax. The opposite of what needs to happen. If we
are looking for the real opportunity for increased revenue to solve the issue,
taxes need to be expanded on the asset holdings of those who have reaped the
rewards of the failed Trickle Down Theory.
Start with Elizabeth Warren’s “Wealth Tax” on assets
over $50 Million. The mechanism already exists in our tax code, it just needs
to be modified and expanded.
Real revenue growth versus the promised Trickle down
growth is the only way to eliminate deficits and reduce debt.
Fiscal Responsibility
- Eliminate the Deficit, Reduce the Debt.
Forms of
Government. Came up with 5 forms of Government: Monarchy, Democracy, Oligarchy,
Authoritarianism, and Totalitarianism.
What happened to Socialism? Why
is it not on the list? Because each and
every one of these is a version of socialism,
Look up the term
Socialism – “a political and
economic theory of social organization which advocates that the means of production,
distribution, and exchange should be owned or regulated by the community as a
whole.” Along with the definition are more variations and use of the term than
there are for forms of government.
Found this quote quite appropriate. “socialism entails the existence of a
legislative body administered by people who would be elected in a
representative democracy”. Sounds a lot like our current form of government. The
term variation of socialism that fits us best is Social Democracy.
Social democracy is a political, social and economic
ideology that supports economic and social interventions to promote social
justice within the framework of a liberal democratic polity and a capitalist
economy.
Our current
president is harping that we will not become a Socialist country, but we
already are. Every level of our government is an example of socialism. From your local township, to your county, to
your state and the federal government.
Our communities vote for representatives to control (own and regulate)
assets for use by our society. Be it
snow plows to keep streets clear, schools to teach our children, social
security to care for our elderly, etc.
Our Democracy is Social
Democracy. We use it to
provide justice as it runs in tandem with Capitalism. They act hand in hand. Right now our democracy is spending out of
control. Basically to provide for the
social justice our society needs. Welfare,
food stamps, tax credits, etc. To pay for these we keep increasing the debt we
are accruing for future generations with ever increasing limits, yet not seeing
that there needs be limits applied to Capitalism.
Without limits on
Capitalism a very few are amassing huge fortunes that eventually will crash our
economy. There are too many in need of
basic minimums to survive. The pressure
on the lower and middle classes is manifesting itself in way too familiar
issues: suicide, mental and general health issues, gun violence, drug
addiction. This list goes on and
on. Without an upper limit to what
people can own and earn, all of these will continue to increase in frequency.
We all want to
believe in the American Dream, we want our society to work for all, without
leaving people behind. It’s about time
we recognize we are a Social democracy that cares for those in
need, coupled with a free enterprise system that can provide real opportunities
for entrepreneurialism, the American Dream. To make it all work we need to set
limits and goals.
The information age
and the imagination age. We came through
the industrial revolution, now living in
an age of information. What is the
imagination age? “Imagination age –
hypothesized successor of the information age: a period in which creativity and
imagination become the primary creators of economic value.” OK, we are not there yet, but we are solidly
in the information age.
I included the
definition of Imagination age, should probably also put in a definition of the
Information age. “The Information Age is
a historic period in the 21st century characterized by the rapid shift from
traditional industry that the Industrial Revolution brought through
industrialization, to an economy based on information technology.” Let’s use some of our creativity and
imagination as we review some information available to us.
The chart below is from a website of world data.
https://ourworldindata.org , specifically the page https://ourworldindata.org/income-inequality
They say a picture
is worth a thousand words, so today is going to be long-winded. The words of
this chart jumped off the page at me in glaring clarity. The countries that reduced taxes on the rich
in what is known as the “Trickle Down Theory”
have had significant portions of wealth transfer to the top 1%. The following chart also from the world data
website shows some of this correlation.
The page is https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/top-income-tax-rates-piketty
The United States
and the United Kingdom dropped their top marginal tax rates by over half in the
last 60 years. Prior to those tax cuts
the percentage of income going to the top 1% had been cut in half, since the
tax cuts, the percentage going to the top 1% has doubled. Appears to be simple math divide top marginal
tax rate by two(2) equals amount going to the top 1% multiplied by two(2).
A couple of Quotes
from the verbiage associated with these pages strike me as being relevant. First, “However,
it would be wrong to think that increasing top income inequality is a universal
phenomenon” This
referencing the relationship between the first and second graph. Secondly, “that the institutional and political frameworks in different countries
also play a role in shaping inequality of incomes. This means that rising
inequality is most likely not inevitable.” So, the problem appears to yet
be solvable.
Back to using our imagination and
creativity. Assumption is the solution
is possible. If our equation was T/2=I*2,
where T is top marginal tax rate and I is the percentage of income going to the
top 1%, does T*2=I/2? Or if we double
the top marginal tax rate will we be able to reduce the direction of income
going to the top 1% by half, thus allowing wealth to naturally spread more
evenly to society. Simple, but is it
imaginative enough? How about adding the
“Wealth tax” to up the creativity. We
have a crisis, it is growing, we need a solution.
Relevant Range.
Systems only work within what’s called a relevant range. Currently, our economic system is not
correctly functioning as parts of it now fall outside of a working Relevant
Range.
Defining the range. There are basically only two
factors in a relevant range. Top end and
Bottom end of the range.
The bottom end of our economy is constantly being
dealt with. Mostly called social
programs. It’s how to keep the poor from having nothing. Bottom of the range is keeping people at the
minimum end surviving financially. If that sets the bottom end, where should
the top be?
Top end of a functional economic relevant range
cannot be infinity. There must be an upper end.
How to set it? We need to come up with this. Where can an upper limit be set that there are
real opportunities for hard work and entrepreneurialism to provide incentives, yet prevent greed and gluttony from spoiling
the range.
I think there are two current proposals that work
towards this end. Elizabeth Warren’s
“Wealth Tax” on assets over $50 Million and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s plan to
increase the top marginal tax rate to 70%.
Where is the limit the top end of the relevant range
should be set at? At this point we don’t
need to set it, but just acknowledge that such a limit needs to be attained.
Example Story - The Balloon.
This is a simple example story about the concept of “Relevant Range”. In this story there is a Very Strong self-
inflating Balloon (our overall Economy).
Belief is, this balloon is this wondrous best of the world system. Truth is, there are issues with the balloon.
Right now we have to keep blowing up the balloon,
but it should be self-expanding, The issue is a set of tiny pin prick holes
(the ultra-rich) allowing the self-expanding gas to escape the balloon (the
upper limit of the relevant range).
As this gas escapes the balloon shrinks to
compensate. This shrinking causes
pressure on the system. This pressure
manifests itself in many ways. Since there is no way out of the balloon (except
the tiny pinholes), all sorts of actions
are required to prevent a collapse of the balloon.
These actions do include entitlement programs
growing at rates we cannot continue to afford.
Proof of this is what we have to continue to blow the balloon up with,
our national debt. Do we want to continue to feed this debt, or come up with a
real solution?
The solution, slow down and eventually plug the
leaks. This entails setting a true upper limit to the relevant range. Elizabeth Warren’s “Wealth Tax” on assets
over $50 Million and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s plan to increase the top
marginal tax rate to 70% are starting points to slowing the leaks. Eventually
we need to seal the Holes.
The balloon will eventually implode if we don’t fix
the issue. Not just address symptom
after symptom.